 |
|
 |
 |
|
 |
Float
Turnover Formation Archive |
|
Archive
of Float
Chart Formations including the
Basic Eight:
1)
Float turnover at a bottom,
2) Support at the 50% float channel
line,
3) Support at the lower float channel
line,
4) Breakout above a float turnover in a
correction,
5) Float Turnover at a Top,
6) Resistance at the 50% float channel
line,
7) Resistance at the top float channel
line.
8) Breakdown below a float turnover in a
retracement
Study the
Eight
Formations
Here's the Basics...
The
floating supply or float are a
company's shares that are actually
available for trading. They are the
shares outstanding minus what the
management owns. Float
turnovers are created by adding up
trading volume cumulatively until
the total is equal to the number of
shares available for trading.
To see a stock's current float
turnover, a gray box with two red lines
is created. This is
accomplished by adding the daily
trading volume cumulatively into the
past until the cumulative total
equals the float number. The
highest and lowest prices in the
backward count are the two red lines
and the box is shaded gray.
The gray box with two red lines is
more simply known as the Float Box. Think of float
boxes as the shortest amount of time
that a stock can go through a
complete change in ownership.
They represent a hypothetical
turnover in the ownership of the
float. Float Boxes can be
found at all long term and short
term bottoms and tops. The idea being that at
bottoms the float is accumulated and
at tops it goes through
distribution. A stock's
current float box on an end of day
float chart is similar to a moving
average in that it has to get
recalculated and re-plotted every
day. Thus the current float
box is always positioned to
the far right on the chart.
Float Channel Lines...understanding
them is crucial
To see were the float box traded in
the past, float channel lines are
created by plotting the upper right
hand corner and the lower right hand
corner of the float box on a day to
day basis. Think of float boxes like
boxcars on railroad tracks. To
see where the float box was in the
past the box can be moved backward
along its float channel 'tracks'.
By using 1/4, 1/2, and 3/4 of the
stock's float number, we can add
float channel lines that correspond
to 1/4th of the float, 1/2 of the
float and 3/4ths of the float.
A thorough study of the archive
below reveals that support and
resistance points correspond to
these float channel lines.
There is nothing magical about this.
All stocks that are moving higher
will naturally pull back during
their upside move. Float
channel lines are a way to see the
degree of the pull back. The
strongest stocks have mild pull
backs (25% float channel Line).
Less strong stocks have normal pull
backs (50% float channel line)
Deeper pull backs will find support
at their lower float channel line
(100% line)
(Please note:
The only software that allows the
user to move the float box backwards
over its float channel lines and to
create the 1/4, 1/2 and 3/4 float
channel lines is the StockShare V2
technical analysis trading software.)
Bottoms...not for beginners
Beginners will find
Float charts to be quite deceptive!
It took Steve over a decade to
figure out how to use them
effectively. Bottom formations
and top formations are the most
deceptive of all. It is very
easy to lose money buying breakouts
at what you think is a bottom. And yet after they
occur, float turnover bottoms are
excellent for teaching the most
basic principles of float charts.
Simply put a float turnover at a
bottom is the place were the Smart
Money buys right at the bottom.
In every chart listed under
"Bottoms" below, you'll find a float
box at the bottom. Everyone
will also have a breakout above the
float turnover at the bottom.
Bottoms
| |
Big Volume Breakout Bottoms |
|
May 20,
2006 |
M-Systems
Flash Disk (FLSH) |
|
Nov. 26,
2005 |
China
TechFaith Wireless (CNTF) |
|
Oct
23, 2004 |
Tivo Inc. (TIVO) |
| |
|
| |
Capitulation Bottoms |
|
Mar
26, 2005 |
Sina Corporation (SINA) |
|
Aug 26th,
2006 |
Rambus
Inc. (RMBS) |
|
Jun
26, 2003 |
Neoware Systems Inc. (NWRE) |
| |
|
| |
Big Volume Before the Breakout
Bottoms |
|
May
24, 2003 |
Human Genome Sciences (HGSI) |
|
July
24, 2006 |
Bon Ton Stores (BOTN) |
|
Jan 17, 2006 |
The
9Limited (NCTY) |
| |
|
| |
Pull Back to the Breakout Line |
|
Mar
27, 2004 |
Stillwater Mining (SWC) |
|
Jun
26, 2003 |
Neoware Systems Inc. (NWRE) |
|
Apr
23, 2005 |
Google (GOOG) |
| |
|
| |
Support at the 25% Float Line
Below the Breakout Line |
|
Sep
7, 2003 |
Dobson Communications (DCEL) |
|
Nov 15,
2006 |
Qimonda
AG ADS (QI) |
|
Oct 27,
2006 |
Peabody
Energy (BTU) |
| |
|
| |
Support at the 50% Float Line Below the Breakout Line |
|
Sept 22,
2006 |
Qiao
Xing Univ Telephone (XING) |
|
July 26, 2005 |
Airtran Holdings (AAI) |
|
July
2, 2005 |
LSI Logic Corp (LSI)
|
|
Nov
16, 2004 |
Cephalon Inc. (CEPH) |
| |
|
| |
Support At the Lower Float Line
Below the Breakout |
|
June 15, 2005 |
Guess? Inc. (GES) |
|
Feb 19, 2005
|
Interchange Corp. (INCX) |
|
Aug 4, 2006 |
KB Homes (KBH) |
|
Aug 4, 2006 |
Ryland Group Inc. (RYL) |
|
Aug 4, 2006 |
Toll Brothers Inc. (TOL) |
|
April 14, 2006 |
General Motors (GM) |
|
Jun
1, 2003 |
XM Satellite Radio (XMSR)
|
| |
|
| |
Pull Back to the 25% Float Line
Above the Breakout Line |
|
Nov 29, 2006 |
Sigma
Designs (SIGM) |
|
Jul 28, 2006 |
Nvidia Inc. (NVDA) |
|
Jan
3, 2004 |
Pantry Inc. (PTRY) |
|
Jun
17, 2003 |
Net IQ Inc. (NTIQ) |
|
Apr 6,
2006 |
M-Systems (FLSH)
|
|
Apr
3, 2004 |
Ameristar (ASCA) |
| |
|
| |
Support at the 50% Float Line Above the Breakout Line |
| |
also known as
Support at the 50% Float Line in
an Uptrend |
| |
(see Up-Trend Formations
below) |
|
Mar 14,
2006 |
OM
Group (OMG) |
|
Jan
8, 2005 |
Swift Transportation (SWFT) |
|
Jan
31, 2004 |
Coeur D Alene (CDE) |
|
July 19,
2006 |
Mobile
Telesys (MBT) |
|
Feb
22,
2005 |
Intercontinental Exchange
(ICE) |
|
Dec
23,
2005 |
True Religion (TRLG) |
|
Mar
05, 2005 |
Dynamic Materials (BOOM) |
| |
|
| |
Breakout
Failures |
| |
|
| |
Breakouts that
Fail |
|
Sept 20,
2006 |
Doral
Financial (DRL) |
|
May 2,
2006 |
N.L.
Industries (NL) |
|
August 15,
2006 |
Redback
Networks (RBAK) |
| |
|
| |
Failure
at the 50% Float Line
Below the Breakout Line |
|
Oct 10,
2006 |
The
Pantry Inc. (PTRY) |
|
Oct 15,
2006 |
Avici
Systems Inc. (AVCI) |
|
Oct 1,
2006 |
Express
Scripts (ESRX) |
| |
|
| |
Failure
at the 50% Float Line
Above the Breakout Line |
|
Nov 29,
2006 |
Rackable Systems (RACK) |
|
Oct 1,
2006 |
Wabtec
Inc. (WAB) |
|
June 30,
2006 |
Starbucks Corp. (SBUX) |
| |
|
| |
Failure
at the Lower Float Line |
|
Dec 21,
2006 |
Alon
USA Energy (ALJ) |
|
Nov 04,
2006 |
Bebe
Stores Inc. (BEBE) |
|
Oct 15,
2006 |
Multi-Fineline (MFLX) |
| |
|
Up - Trends
Support at the 50% Float Channel
Line
(ABC LONG Float Set-Ups)
Support at the Lower Float
Channel Line
(Also known as Breakdowns that Fail
or
Overhead Support Formations)
| |
Support at the Lower (100%) Float Line |
|
Sept 11,
2006 |
Airgas
Inc. (ARG) View #1 |
|
Sept 11,
2006 |
Airgas
Inc. (ARG) View #2 |
|
June 26,
2006 |
LKQ
Corp (LKQX) |
|
Dec 4,
2006 |
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) |
|
Dec 14,
2005 |
Talx
Corporation (TALX) |
|
Apr 28,
2006 |
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) |
|
Feb 15,
2006 |
Kendle
International (KNDL) |
|
Feb 9,
2006 |
Multi-Fineline
Electronix (MFLX) |
|
Oct 31,
2005 |
Denbury
Resources (DNR) |
|
May
21, 2005 |
The Pantry Inc. (PTRY) |
|
May
7, 2005 |
Endwave (ENWY) |
|
Dec
4, 2004
|
Parlux Fragrances (PARL)
|
|
Nov
7, 2004
|
Cree Inc. (CREE)
|
|
Aug
28, 2004 |
Baker Hughes Inc. (BHI) |
|
Apr
24, 2004 |
California Micro Devices (CAMD) |
|
Feb 14, 2004
|
Arris Group Inc. (ARRS)
|
|
Dec 14,
2005 |
Talx
Corporation (TALX) |
| |
|
Corrections
(also known as Pull Backs or
Retracements)_
| |
Straight
Top Line |
|
Nov 1,
2006 |
AMR
Corp. (AMR) |
| |
|
| |
Top Line Drops Just a Little |
|
Nov 1,
2006 |
Brown Shoe
Co Inc (BWS) |
|
Nov
8, 2003 |
CE
Franklin Ltd (CFK) |
|
July
31, 2004 |
Shiloh Inds Inc. (SHLO) |
|
Nov
8, 2003 |
Align Technology (ALGN)
|
|
Dec 5,
2005 |
Arena
Resources (ARD) |
|
Nov 5,
2005 |
Guess
Inc. (GES) |
|
Sept
17, 2005 |
Carrizo Oil & Gas Inc. (CRZO) |
| |
|
| |
Top Line Drops Two Steps |
|
July
9, 2005 |
Titanium Metals (TIE) |
|
July
16, 2005 |
SBA Communications (SBAC) |
| |
|
| |
Top Line Makes a Steep Drop |
|
June
24, 2005 |
Standard Pacific (SPF) |
|
June
18, 2005 |
Toll Brothers (TOL) |
|
May
28, 2005 |
Hovnanian Enterprises (HOV) |
|
Oct
30, 2004 |
Mannatech (MTEX) |
|
Sept
24, 2005 |
Dril-Quip (DRQ) |
| |
|
Tops
| |
The Inverted V Top |
|
Oct 29, 2005 |
Bebe
Stores Inc. (BEBE) |
|
May 18,
2006 |
May
Fortunet Inc. (FNET) |
|
Apr
17, 2005 |
NovaAmerican (TONS) |
| |
|
| |
The Double and Triple Float Turnover Top
|
|
July 25,
2006 |
Medifast Inc. (MED) |
|
July 7,
2006 |
Simclair Inc. (SIMC) |
|
Sept 15,
2006 |
Encore
Wire (WIRE) |
|
Dec 16,
2005 |
Foxhollow Tech (FOXH) |
| |
|
| |
Tops that Start with Resistance
at the 25% Float Line |
|
Aug 3,
2005 |
Bebe
Stores (BEBE) |
|
June 29,
2006 |
Molecular Devices (MDCC) |
|
July 17,
2006 |
Pengrowth Egy (PGH) |
| |
|
| |
Tops that Start with Resistance
at the 50% Float Line |
|
June 30,
2006 |
Kendle
International (KNDL) |
|
June 12,
2006 |
Team
Inc. (TMI) |
|
July 21,
2006 |
Volt
Information Science (VOL) |
| |
|
| |
Resistance
at the Top Float Line Before
a
Breakdown |
|
Aug 1,
2006 |
Adolor
Corp. (ADLR) |
| |
|
| |
Resistance
at the 50% Float Line Above the
Breakdown Line |
|
Nov 22, 2003 |
Sandisk Inc. (SNDK) |
|
< | | | | |