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December 10, 2005
This Week's Stocks


Fastenal Company (FAST)
Makes a
22% Move in 5 Weeks

Two stock charts appear below. The first chart shows how the stock looked when we sent it out as a Stock Alert buy recommendation.  The second chart shows the resulting price move. The purpose of these charts is to demonstrate the principles of Float Analysis and the power of Float Charts. 

Feel free to share this stock report with others.

Float Turnover Theory (The Basics) - When a company comes public it issues shares outstanding.  The management always holds some percentage of these shares.  What's left over and is sold to the public, is called the float or floating supply.  Float Charts are all about tracking the floating supply in an attempt to see where the Smart Money is buying and selling. The gray rectangle on a Float Chart is known as a Float Turnover and changes from day to day like a moving average.  It shows the least amount of time it takes for the entire float to change hands once.  The total amount of shares traded during the float turnover equals the floating supply.  We simply add up the number shares that traded over a given time frame until it equals a stock's float number.   Imagine a stock's price that comes down and then the price goes sideways for one float turnover.  The idea here is that during the sideways move new ownership has bought the float hoping that the price will move higher.  Once the float is accumulated and held tight, any new demand drives the price upward.  Then during the move to the upside support comes in at the mid way point known as the 50% Float Channel Line (see chart below).

Fastenal Company (FAST)
ABC Float Set-Up Breakout

On the week ending September 23rd, 2005 Fastenal found support at its 50% Float Channel line.  Then on the week ending October 14th, 2005, it broke out on heavy volume.  On Monday October 17th, we sent out a Stock Alert recommending it.
In the next 5 weeks, it moved up up 22%.  

Who says you can't time the market!

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(Please Note - A 2 for 1 split occurred on Nov. 15, which causes an apparent discrepancy in prices between the two charts)



A 22% Move in 5 Weeks

 

 


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Our stock picks are based on the ideas found in Steve's book Float Analysis, Powerful Technical Indicators Using Price and Volume (Wiley, 2002). The book's former title was The Precision Profit Float Indicator (Marketplace Books, 2000).


 


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