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March 18, 2006
This Week's Stocks


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Multi-Fineline Electronix (MFLX)
Makes a 
27% Move in 26 Days

Two stock charts and Two Graphics appear below. The first chart shows how the stock looked when we sent it out as a Stock Alert buy recommendation on the morning of February 9, 2006.  The second chart shows the resulting price move of 27% in 26 days and still counting.  The purpose of these charts and graphics are to demonstrate the principles of Float Analysis and the power of Float Charts. 

Feel free to share this stock report with others.

Float Turnover Theory (The Basics) - When a company comes public it issues shares outstanding.  The management always holds some percentage of these shares.  What's left over and is sold to the public, is called the float or floating supply.  Float Charts are all about tracking the floating supply in an attempt to see where the smart money is buying and selling. The gray rectangle on a Float Chart is known as a Float Turnover.  It shows the least amount of time it takes for the entire float to change hands once.  The total amount of shares traded during the float turnover equals the floating supply.  We simply add up the number of shares that traded over a given time frame until it equals a stock's publicly accessible float number.   Imagine a stock's price that goes sideways for one float turnover (like the stock below)  The idea here is that during the sideways move new ownership has bought the float hoping that the price will move higher.  Once the float is accumulated and held tight, any new demand drives the price upward.

Multi-Fineline Electronix (MFLX)
Overhead Support Formation

On February 7th 2006, MFLX returned to the same $44 price level that it had first reached 25 days earlier on December 29th, 2005. This brought its price down to its lower float channel line.  This implied at least two major possibilities.  Either the ownership in the float turnover above the December 29th price had bought at exactly the wrong time and their losing positions would only get worse or the ownership above the December 29th price would  hold their shares tightly and the price would rise up and away.  On February 8th, the price turned higher with a very bullish move to the upside.  This was an early signal that the accumulation phase was over and a price rise was about to occur. The following morning on February 9th, we sent out a stock alert buy recommendation for MFLX.  Since then it has made a 27% move in 26 days.

Who says you can't time the market!

Study the Charts and the Graphics below it.  They'll help you understand the principles of Float Analysis and the power of Float Charts.

STUDY BOTH CHARTS BELOW 
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Our stock picks are based on the ideas found in Steve's book Float Analysis, Powerful Technical Indicators Using Price and Volume (Wiley, 2002). The book's former title was The Precision Profit Float Indicator (Marketplace Books, 2000).

 


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