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October 21, 2006      


Listen to Steve

THE COCA-COLA CO. (KO)
Closed Above Its Top Float Channel Line This Week
for the First Time in Over 6 Years!

It Looks To Me Like Its a Buy on Pull Backs
and then
Hold for the Long Term

 
(See Chart Below)

When a stock's price has been in a long decline and then rises far enough to penetrate its upper float channel line, there are three possibilities ahead.  1) The most likely possibility is that the upper float channel line will act as resistance and the price will immediately head lower.  2) The second possibility is that as the price moves lower it will find support at either its 25%, 50% or the lowest (100%) float channel line.  If this happens there is a strong probability that the stock will put in a bottom and the long term trend will change from down to up.  3) The third possibility is that the upper float line has lost all resistance capability and the price will easily continue to move higher.  This is the least likely scenario.  Thinking that a penetration of the upper float line is a buy signal is a mistake and will easily lead to losses in your portfolio.

So what did Coca-Cola do this week?  It pierced and closed above its upper float channel line for the first time in over six years!  The best chart to view this on its monthly chart (see above). 

Coca-cola Co. is a big cap stock and we're currently in a big cap rally in stocks.  So what do I expect for this stock.  I think it's going higher in the long term.  But in the short term I expect it will pull back in relatively quiet trading.

Always remember, you never ever truly know what a stock will do tomorrow.  This is because stock movement is not a mechanical process.  Stocks move based on the decisions of human beings and predicting human decisions is never certain.  If a large number of the people owning the stock mentioned above were to decide tomorrow that they wanted to sell then the stock could easily sell off.  If a large number of people decide to buy then this stock could easily blast higher.  It all depends on the decisions of people.

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Have a Good Week, Be Prosperous, and Keep in Touch

 


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